Dispatch 003
What happens After Humanity learns it is not alone?
Science fiction often treats first contact as the big moment.
The ships arrive. The signal is decoded. Humanity looks up and realizes, finally and unmistakably, that we are not alone.
Personally, I have always believed that extraterrestrial civilizations probably exist somewhere in this vast universe. I would not be surprised if some exist within our own Milky Way.
Consider the scale involved. The universe is more than 13 billion years old. Human civilization occupies only the tiniest fraction of that history. Our technological age is smaller still. We have been transmitting radio signals for little more than a century and traveling into space for only a few decades.
It seems difficult to look at those numbers and conclude with any certainty that we are the only civilization that has ever emerged.
But believing someone else may be out there is very different from believing we are likely to meet them anytime soon.
There is an old saying among people involved in spaceflight: “Space is hard.”
Interstellar space is harder.
We may very well see permanent bases on the Moon and perhaps even the beginnings of a human settlement on Mars within the coming decades. Those would be extraordinary achievements.
But neither gets us remotely close to another star.
Voyager 1 provides some perspective. It launched in 1977 and remains the most distant human-made object ever built. Nearly half a century later, traveling at roughly 38,000 miles per hour, it is only now approaching a distance from Earth that light can cross in about a day. A single light-year is roughly 365 times farther. The nearest star system is more than four light-years away.
At the speeds we currently know how to achieve, interstellar travel is not simply difficult.
For practical human purposes, it is nearly unimaginable.
Reaching beyond our solar system in any meaningful way will require science and technology we do not presently possess. Perhaps entirely new methods of propulsion. Perhaps discoveries in physics we have not yet made. Perhaps something we have not even learned enough to imagine.
And that is where science fiction gets interesting.
Because humanity has existed for only an instant on the cosmic clock.
What if someone else got started earlier?
Not a hundred years earlier.
Not a thousand.
A million.
Ten million.
A hundred million.
The universe certainly provides enough time for that possibility.
What would a civilization look like if it had been developing science and technology for a million years longer than we have?
Could it have discovered principles of physics we do not yet understand?
Could it have found ways around the limitations that currently make interstellar travel seem impossible?
Could it have learned, quite literally, how to make space easier?
I have no idea.
Neither does anyone else.
And that uncertainty is part of what makes the question so much fun to explore.
That is one of the assumptions behind The Terran Accord. Humanity has not solved the problem of interstellar travel.
Someone else has.
And once that happens, I become less interested in the mechanics of the first handshake than in what happens afterward.
Would humanity really unite after first contact?
Maybe for a few hours.
Maybe for a few days.
But after the shock wore off, I suspect we would still be ourselves.
Governments would begin asking what the visitors wanted. Militaries would want to know what they could do. Scientists would want access. Intelligence agencies would worry about what other nations had already learned. Political leaders would calculate risk, opportunity, and advantage.
Some people would welcome the discovery. Others would fear it. Some would see a new beginning for humanity. Others would see a threat to everything familiar.
And somewhere in the middle of all of that, someone would have to answer a very simple question:
Who speaks for Earth?
That question is one of the ideas at the heart of The Terran Accord.
Today, humanity has no planetary government. We have nations, alliances, international organizations, treaties, and institutions designed to manage cooperation between sovereign states. None of them were created to represent an entire species to another civilization.
If a spacecraft entered orbit tomorrow and its occupants asked to negotiate with humanity, who would sit across the table?
The United Nations?
The United States?
China?
A coalition of major powers?
Scientists?
Military leaders?
And perhaps more importantly, who would everyone else accept as having the authority to make decisions on their behalf?
That is where first contact becomes much more interesting to me than simply meeting aliens.
Because the existence of another intelligent civilization would not erase our differences. It might actually make some of them more important.
Every nation would understand immediately that alien technology could alter the balance of power on Earth. Energy production, propulsion, medicine, communications, materials science, artificial intelligence—almost any significant technological exchange could transform economies and military capabilities overnight.
Even friendly visitors could destabilize the world without firing a shot.
Imagine one nation gaining access to a propulsion technology decades or centuries ahead of everyone else.
Or an energy system that made fossil fuels obsolete.
Or medical technology capable of eliminating diseases that currently kill millions.
Would those discoveries automatically belong to humanity?
Or to the country that obtained them first?
Those are not really technological questions.
They are political questions.
And human beings have been arguing over political questions for thousands of years.
That is why I have never found the idea of instant global unity particularly convincing.
A genuine external threat might bring nations together temporarily. History suggests that common danger can produce extraordinary cooperation. But cooperation is not the same thing as surrendering sovereignty, authority, or national interest.
Eventually the immediate crisis would pass.
Then the harder questions would begin.
Who controls the new technology?
Who decides how it is used?
Who represents Earth beyond our own planet?
Who gets to explore?
Who gets to negotiate?
Who gets to say no?
And what happens when one group believes the interests of humanity should take priority over the interests of individual nations?
Those questions become even more difficult once humanity begins moving outward.
The moment we establish permanent settlements beyond Earth, begin exploiting extraterrestrial resources, or interact regularly with other civilizations, we are no longer dealing only with international politics.
We are dealing with planetary politics.
That transition would probably be messy.
In The Awakening, humanity is forced to confront an immediate existential threat. Survival has a way of simplifying priorities. People and governments that might otherwise disagree can cooperate when the alternative is extinction.
But surviving the crisis does not answer the larger question.
What happens when humanity discovers that the universe is populated, active, and far more complicated than we imagined?
That is where The Reach begins to explore different territory.
Humanity has survived.
Now it has to decide what comes next.
And that may be the harder problem.
Because once the emergency is over, the old instincts return.
National interest.
Political ambition.
Fear.
Competition.
Control.
The temptation to believe that new capabilities should belong to someone rather than everyone.
At the same time, something fundamental has changed.
Earth is no longer the entire known world.
Human civilization is no longer the only civilization.
And humanity can no longer pretend that the decisions made by one nation affect only that nation.
Eventually, we would have to decide whether we remained primarily Americans, Chinese, Russians, Europeans, Indians, Africans, and hundreds of other national identities—or whether there were certain questions for which we had to begin thinking of ourselves as Terrans.
Not instead of those identities.
In addition to them.
That distinction matters.
A planetary civilization would not require humanity to become culturally uniform. In fact, I think the opposite would be true. Our diversity would remain one of our defining characteristics.
The challenge would be learning where national sovereignty ended and planetary responsibility began.
That is one of the central tensions I wanted to explore in The Terran Accord.
First contact changes more than our understanding of the universe.
It changes the scale of our responsibilities.
I do not know whether humanity will ever encounter another intelligent civilization.
I suspect someone is out there.
Physics simply makes the distance between us enormous.
But perhaps somewhere in a galaxy that has existed for billions of years, somebody had a very long head start.
And maybe they already figured out how to cross it.
That is where reality ends and imagination gets to take over.
And for a science-fiction writer, that is a pretty good place to begin.